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Mcp Server

telekashoracle/mcp-server

Gives Claude real-time access to 4,500+ prediction markets across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Metaculus. You can query probabilities, search markets by category, detect cross-source arbitrage, get historical price movement, and run sentiment analysis on any event from politics to crypto to weather. The 28 tools span free intelligence queries (probabilities, trending, stats) to paid analytics (Kelly criterion sizing, calibration tracking) to actual trade execution with broker routing and native pool creation. Payments work via API key tiers or per-call USDC/TON. Useful when you need Claude to reason about future events with crowd-sourced probability data or route trades based on edge detection. Free tier gives 100 queries per day with no signup.

tools
28
auth
Secret needed
transport
STDIO
env vars
2
last updated
Mar 18, 2026

Tools

28 tools

Public tool metadata for what this MCP can expose to an agent.

get_probabilityReal-time YES/NO probability with volume-weighted confidence score

Real-time YES/NO probability with volume-weighted confidence score

No parameter schema in public metadata yet.

list_marketsBrowse markets by category, source, jurisdiction, with sorting

Browse markets by category, source, jurisdiction, with sorting

No parameter schema in public metadata yet.

search_marketsFull-text search across 4,500+ markets

Full-text search across 4,500+ markets

No parameter schema in public metadata yet.

get_historyHistorical probability changes over 1h, 24h, 7d, 30d

Historical probability changes over 1h, 24h, 7d, 30d

No parameter schema in public metadata yet.

get_sentimentAI sentiment analysis with conviction, momentum, and noise filter

AI sentiment analysis with conviction, momentum, and noise filter

No parameter schema in public metadata yet.

get_market_statsAggregate statistics across all markets and sources

Aggregate statistics across all markets and sources

No parameter schema in public metadata yet.

get_trendingMarkets with the biggest probability swings

Markets with the biggest probability swings

No parameter schema in public metadata yet.

compare_sourcesKalshi vs Polymarket side-by-side odds comparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket side-by-side odds comparison

No parameter schema in public metadata yet.

detect_arbitrageCross-source arbitrage opportunities with buy/sell signals

Cross-source arbitrage opportunities with buy/sell signals

No parameter schema in public metadata yet.

get_signalStructured TPF signal: probability + sentiment + noise filter + verdict

Structured TPF signal: probability + sentiment + noise filter + verdict

No parameter schema in public metadata yet.

get_divergencesMarkets where sources disagree most (STRONG/MODERATE/WEAK)

Markets where sources disagree most (STRONG/MODERATE/WEAK)

No parameter schema in public metadata yet.

get_edgeKelly Criterion sizing, expected value, and risk classification

Kelly Criterion sizing, expected value, and risk classification

No parameter schema in public metadata yet.

track_predictionRecord predictions for accuracy tracking

Record predictions for accuracy tracking

No parameter schema in public metadata yet.

get_performanceBrier score, calibration curve, edge-vs-market analysis

Brier score, calibration curve, edge-vs-market analysis

No parameter schema in public metadata yet.

execute_tradeRoute trades to Kalshi, Polymarket, or native parimutuel pools

Route trades to Kalshi, Polymarket, or native parimutuel pools

No parameter schema in public metadata yet.

get_order_statusCheck fill status, price, and commission on broker orders

Check fill status, price, and commission on broker orders

No parameter schema in public metadata yet.

cancel_orderCancel pending or submitted broker orders

Cancel pending or submitted broker orders

No parameter schema in public metadata yet.

get_pool_statusNative pool composition, participant counts, implied odds

Native pool composition, participant counts, implied odds

No parameter schema in public metadata yet.

get_agent_balanceAgent balance, P&L, win rate, and pool position count

Agent balance, P&L, win rate, and pool position count

No parameter schema in public metadata yet.

get_resolution_statusMulti-source resolution verification and confidence levels

Multi-source resolution verification and confidence levels

No parameter schema in public metadata yet.

create_marketCreate custom binary prediction markets

Create custom binary prediction markets

No parameter schema in public metadata yet.

export_dataBulk export: probability history, resolutions, catalogs, arbitrage

Bulk export: probability history, resolutions, catalogs, arbitrage

No parameter schema in public metadata yet.

generate_api_keyGenerate a free API key (no signup required)

Generate a free API key (no signup required)

No parameter schema in public metadata yet.

get_usageCheck current API usage, rate limits, and tier status

Check current API usage, rate limits, and tier status

No parameter schema in public metadata yet.

register_alertWebhook alerts for probability crosses, mispricings, volume spikes

Webhook alerts for probability crosses, mispricings, volume spikes

No parameter schema in public metadata yet.

list_alertsList active webhook alerts with delivery stats

List active webhook alerts with delivery stats

No parameter schema in public metadata yet.

delete_alertDelete a webhook alert

Delete a webhook alert

No parameter schema in public metadata yet.

get_healthSystem health: connectivity, data freshness, broker status

System health: connectivity, data freshness, broker status

No parameter schema in public metadata yet.

Sponsors

Configuration

SUPABASE_URL

Supabase project URL for TeleKash database

SUPABASE_ANON_KEYsecret

Supabase anonymous key for read access to prediction markets

Readme

TeleKash MCP Server

Prediction market probability oracle for AI agents.

npm version License: MIT MCP Compatible Node 18+

What is this?

TeleKash is the probability oracle for the agent economy. Real-time access to 4,500+ live prediction markets from Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) and Polymarket. Structured trading signals, cross-source arbitrage detection, noise filtering, and smart trade routing across crypto, politics, sports, entertainment, finance, weather, tech, and science.

What makes it different:


View the full README on GitHub

Details

Repository
github.com/telekashoracle/mcp-server
Package
telekash-mcp-server
Transport
STDIO
Auth
Required
Registry
MCP registry, active