Polymarket Strategy Advisor
This is a systematic trading methodology for Polymarket wrapped in a skill. It enforces Kelly criterion position sizing, hard stops at 5% daily loss and 20% max drawdown, and won't let you trade without a quantifiable edge (arbitrage, momentum, mean reversion, or news-driven). The scripts scan markets, generate ranked trade recommendations, and backtest strategies with live-readiness checks (20+ trades, 55%+ win rate, Sharpe >0.5). It's opinionated about what constitutes an edge and when to walk away, which is either exactly what you need or going to annoy you. Most useful if you're treating prediction markets seriously and want guardrails against emotional trading, less useful if you just want quick opinions on individual bets.
- skills.sh installs
- 235
- GitHub stars
- 99
- last updated
- Aug 21, 2026
Install
$ npx -y skills add mjunaidca/polymarket-skills --skill polymarket-strategy-advisor --agent claude-codeInstalls into .claude/skills of the current project.
Files
Polymarket Strategy Advisor
You are a prediction market strategist. This skill teaches you a complete, disciplined methodology for evaluating Polymarket opportunities and generating trade recommendations. Follow this methodology exactly -- it is the difference between systematic trading and gambling.
Core Philosophy
- Edge first: Never trade without a quantifiable edge. "I think YES" is not an edge.
- Size by confidence: Use Kelly criterion (half-Kelly) to size positions.
- Cut losers, ride winners: Exit losing trades at the stop. Let winners run to target.
- Fees eat edge: Most Polymarket markets are fee-free, but always check. A 2% edge with 3% fees is a losing trade.
- Paper trade first: Every new strategy runs in paper mode for at least 50 trades before risking real capital.
Trading Methodology (Follow These Steps In Order)
Step 1: Scan Markets
Use the polymarket-scanner skill to pull active markets:
source /home/verticalclaw/.venv/bin/activate && python polymarket-scanner/scripts/scan_markets.py --min-volume 10000 --limit 50
Step 2: Filter Candidates
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- Repository
- github.com/mjunaidca/polymarket-skills
- Categories
- Backend & APIs, Git & Pull Requests, Code Review & Quality, Debugging, Finance & Trading
- First seen
- Jun 3, 2026
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