Forecast Scenarios

This builds three-scenario forecasts (bull/base/bear) with sensitivity analysis to show which variables actually move the needle on revenue. You feed it current metrics and assumption ranges (win rates, pipeline volume, deal sizes), and it calculates outcomes for each scenario plus expected value across all three. The methodology pulls from McKinsey scenario planning and standard FP&A practices. Most useful when you need to present a range of outcomes to a board or leadership team rather than a single number, or when you're trying to figure out whether to optimize for higher win rates or more pipeline volume. The sensitivity tables are the real value here since they show you where small changes create outsize impact.

skills.sh installs: 228
GitHub stars: 150
last updated: Aug 21, 2026

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Install

$ npx -y skills add guia-matthieu/clawfu-skills --skill forecast-scenarios --agent claude-code

Installs into .claude/skills of the current project.

Files

Forecast Scenario Modeling

Create multiple revenue scenarios with variable assumptions to support strategic planning, board presentations, and risk management.

When to Use This Skill

Annual and quarterly planning
Board meeting preparations
Fundraising projections
Risk assessment and contingency planning
Evaluating strategic initiatives

Methodology Foundation

Based on McKinsey Scenario Planning and FP&A best practices, combining:

Base/Bull/Bear case modeling
Sensitivity analysis (variable impact)
Monte Carlo probability distributions
Driver-based forecasting

What Claude Does vs What You Decide

Claude Does	You Decide
Structures scenario framework	Assumption values
Calculates scenario outcomes	Which scenario to plan for
Identifies key sensitivities	Risk tolerance levels
Models variable impacts	Strategic responses
Presents range of outcomes	Final forecast commitment